Reasoning based on false data: how flawed computer models make government look thick

What government must now do is buck up its ideas before the citizenry lose patience

It does not matter how logical your reasoning is, if it is based on false data, your answers are going to come out wrong and you are going to look like an idiot.

So it is with the government: its tendency to base its policies on flawed computer models and the advice of complete loons tend to make it appear bonkers in the eyes of sensible  people such as the majority of the citizenry.

You could of course argue that continuing to rely on flawed computer models or the advice  of loons, as opposed to one’s own common sense, is itself dimwitted.

Be all that as it may, where governments let themselves be led astray, they are at risk and quite frankly had  better buck their  ideas up before the citizenry lose patience and advance on their Parliament armed with the proverbial pitchforks.

Here’s a very fine contribution from Net Zero Watch to helping increase your understanding of how seriously flawed computer models throw a ruddy great spanner in the works.

Climate models behind Net Zero policies are ‘thoroughly flawed’

SOURCE: Net Zero Watch
The world’s climate policies are based on computer simulations of the atmosphere that are thoroughly flawed. That’s the conclusion of a new paper published by Net Zero Watch.

The paper, by US climate writer Willis Eschenbach, describes the results of a review of the computer code inside NASA’s Model E climate simulation. It shows that, far from being based on basic physics, in many places the model incorporates crude corrections to make the output look vaguely reasonable.

Eschenbach says:

It’s clear that in many places the physics in the computer code is simply wrong and gives ludicrous output. But instead of fixing it, NASA scientists have simply put crude corrections to hide the problem. This destroys the credibility of NASA’s predictions.”

Andrew Montford, Net Zero Watch director said:

We know from the Covid debacle that computer models are no basis for public policy. It would be a pity if politicians refuse to learn that lesson and allow further damage to be inflicted on the public.”

Eschenbach’s paper is available for download here.

 

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About Steve Cook 2280 Articles
Director, UK Reloaded

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