Today’s Attacks On Ships In The Gulf Of Oman Are Not In Iran’s Interest
MOON OF ALABAMA
Early this morning, around 6:00 UTC, two tankers in the Gulf of Oman were attacked by surface weapons. Both ships were some 50 kilometers south-east of Bandar-e Jask and some 100+ kilometers east of Fujairah.
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The Iranian Search and Rescue ship Naji picked up the 44 crew members of both ships and brought them to Bandar-E Jash. Oil prices increased by some 4%.
These attacks come a month after four ships anchoring near the UAE port of Fujairah were damaged by explosives attached to their hulls. The investigation of that incident by the UAE did not blame anyone for the attack but suggested that a country must have been behind it. U.S. National Security Advisor John Bolton blamed Iran.
It is likely that Iranian proxy forces were involved in the May attacks. It is unlikely that Iran had anything to do with today’s attacks.
The May attack was accompanied by two drone strikes launched by Houthi forces in Yemen on the Saudi east-west pipeline that allows some Saudi exports to avoid a passage through the Street of Hormuz. A third strike was a medium range missile launch by the Islamic Jihad in the Gaza strip against the city of Ashkelon in Israel.
All three strikes together were a warning that those countries who instigate for a U.S. war on Iran would get seriously hurt should Iran be attacked.
The attack today comes at an inconvenient time for Iran. The loud anti-Iran campaign John Bolton initiated in April and May recently calmed down.
U.S. President Trump is trying to move Iran towards negotiations with him. He recently received the President of Switzerland in the White House. Switzerland is the ‘protecting power’ that represent U.S. diplomatic interests in Iran. The German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas was sent to Iran to press for Iranian concessions. Currently the Prime Minister of Japan Shinzo Abe is visiting Tehran. He today met Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Khamenei but had no success in moving Iran towards negotiations with Trump.
Even while Iran rejects negotiations with the U.S. as long as the U.S. keeps up its sanctions, it has no interest in disturbing the current phase of diplomacy. Iran seems to have nothing to win from these attacks.
Is someone else out to nearly literally torpedo the current mediation attempts?
Original article
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