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ER Editor: A reminder that Farage’s Reform UK party currently has just 5 sitting MPs. So 311, if true, would constitute an enormous gain. Currently, Labour has 401 MPs, dropping to 144 according to this YouGov poll projection. Conservatives, already in the toilet relatively speaking with 119, falling to just 45.
Reform UK’s own projection —
The Sunday Times says Reform UK are on course to win 373 seats at the next election.
They predict total wipeout for Labour and the Tories.
Real change is coming. ➡ pic.twitter.com/lQjpOKdvz3
— Reform UK (@reformparty_uk) September 28, 2025
Sky News also has this —
Nigel Farage on course to be next prime minister, mega poll projects
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A reminder that the Brit Card was Starmer’s latest bright idea, calling for digital National ID for every citizen ‘because of immigration’, which has produced a huge backlash, naturally. And this —
🚨 Almost 1 MILLION people have signed a UK petition demanding an ELECTION immediately.
At 100,000 Parliament must consider this for debate. pic.twitter.com/WhCxwxdnbH
— Alex James (@actualAlexJames) September 26, 2025
***
Meanwhile Ben Habib’s AdvanceUK party got its launch in Newcastle yesterday —
I am delighted to say the launch of @_AdvanceUK will take place as planned in Newcastle on Saturday.
We come with only peace and love in our hearts.
If you have tickets please look out for an email with details.
See you Saturday 🇬🇧❤️ pic.twitter.com/czSv8gITm8
— Ben Habib (@benhabib6) September 25, 2025
AdvanceUK Official Launch Day https://t.co/1WJo3rGLwU
— Jim Ferguson (@JimFergusonUK) September 27, 2025
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Major Poll Finds Nigel Farage on Track for No 10 With 311 MPs
WILL JONES for DAILY SCEPTIC
A major poll has put Nigel Farage on track to be Britain’s next Prime Minister with 311 MPs as Labour is set to lose more than 250 seats and the Tories are pushed into fourth. The Mail has more.
The scale of Labour’s crisis was laid bare today as a megapoll found Nigel Farage on track for Downing Street.
Reform would make the biggest surge in British political history if an election was held now, according to the YouGov research.
Although the party would be slightly short of an overall majority with 311 MPs, that would almost certainly see Mr Farage become PM.
Meanwhile, Labour would lose more than 250 seats on its current tally – and the Tories would slump into fourth behind the Lib Dems, with just 45 MPs.
The huge survey used a technique known as MRP to project results for all constituencies, based on the characteristics of their voters.
It found Yvette Cooper, Wes Streeting, Angela Rayner, Ed Miliband, Bridget Phillipson and Lisa Nandy face being among the big-name casualties.
For the Conservatives it would be their worst result ever, stretching back to the formation of the predecessor Tory Party in the 1670s.
Robert Jenrick, Priti Patel, James Cleverly and Mel Stride are seen as losing their seats in the meltdown.
Reform’s net gain of 306 seats would be easily the biggest increase for a party between two General Elections.
Technically 326 MPs are needed for an overall majority – but with the Speaker and Sinn Fein MPs not participating in votes, the real bar is lower.
The YouGov findings are based on national vote shares of 27% for Reform, 21% for Labour, 17% for the Tories and 15% for the Lib Dems.
The Greens were on 11%, the SNP on 3% and Plaid 1%.
However, some other polls have shown an even bigger advantage for Reform.
Indeed, in keeping with YouGov’s infamous ‘pro-social’ (or Left-wing) bias, 27% is on the low side for Reform: the party’s current polling average is 31%.
Worth reading in full.
Source
Featured image source, screengrab: https://news.sky.com/story/nigel-farage-on-course-to-be-next-prime-minister-mega-poll-projects-13438143
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Published to UK Reloaded from Europe Reloaded
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